Financial Times認証済みアカウント @FinancialTimes 39分39分前 The resignation of US defence secretary Jim Mattis has sent shockwaves in Washington and abroad ? and will have serious ramifications for America's foreign policy. Here's how: マチス国防長官の辞任はワシントンと海外の諸国に衝波を送った。そして此れは米国の 外交政策に深刻な派生効果を与える。解説記事↓ https://t.co/j8NR4QCIpT 👀 Rock54: Caution(BBR-MD5:b73a9cd27f0065c395082e3925dacf01)
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/maggie-haberman-disgusted-republicans-now-privately-admitting-they-regret-supporting-trump/ Colby Hall / Mediaite: Maggie Haberman: ‘Disgusted’ Republicans Now Privately Admitting They Regret Supporting Trump ? New York Times reporter and CNN contributor Maggie Haberman appeared on New Day Friday morning and revealed insight into the current turmoil in Washington D.C. ? In light of the many issues challenging 現状の混乱にうんざりした共和党員は、今やトランプ大統領を支持したことを 個人的には後悔している
Calling it a “critical moment,” Haberman reported that there was waning support for Trump from the right, saying “A number of conservatives who worked on the campaign and supported the president and now say, you know, I regret doing that, and this was a mistake, this administration is, you know, off the rails, and all of these investigations that are coming to a head will be a huge problem.”
She adding that these conservatives “disgusted” with details that have emerged from the Michael Cohen plea deal. In her eyes, investigations into Trump’s campaign are ” going to intensify as we get into the year” before bringing up impeachment. “It takes 20 Republican senators to vote in favor of impeachment. This could be a critical moment.”
Yet Mr Mattis, who has become the first defence secretary to resign as an act of protest, presented his resignation as a broader rebuke to Mr Trump’s unilateralist instincts.
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/21/trump-republicans-congress-support-1074186 Trump sees dangerous cracks in Hill GOP support A series of recent events is alienating congressional allies Trump would need in an impeachment fight. By ELIANA JOHNSON and BURGESS EVERETT 12/21/2018 07:14 PM EST Updated 12/21/2018 10:50 PM EST トランプ大統領は議会共和党の支持に、危険な亀裂をみる 最近の一連の不祥事が、議会共和党をしてトランプ支持から引かせているが 大統領にとって弾劾から逃れるため、議会の支持は死活的に重要
From his defense of Saudi Arabia’s crown prince over the murder of a dissident journalist to his abrupt decision to pull American troops out of Syria to his demand for a government shutdown, Trump has been angering friendly lawmakers, leading some who typically kept their disagreements to themselves to speak up. サウジアラビアの皇太子への支持やシリアからの全面撤退、国境の壁のために政府閉鎖 も辞さないとする方針などが議会共和党の不評をかっている The trend could prove perilous for the president after Democrats assume control of the House in January. Should the House vote to impeach Trump, he will have to rely on an increasingly exasperated Senate GOP conference to prevent him from being thrown out of office. 来年1月から下院は民主党支配になりトランプ政権の疑惑追求が各種の議会委員会で始まる The senator described the president as increasingly intent on pleasing the hard-line House Freedom Caucus and media allies like Ann Coulter and Rush Limbaugh. Some Republicans find the juxtaposition between what they consider a reckless foreign policy and a reckless border wall fight to be infuriating. “Syria is crumbling. And we’re talking about a fucking wall,” this senator said.
Also aggravating Republicans is Trump’s sheer unpredictability, which was evident from his unclear and shifting positions on the budget talks. Earlier this week Trump seemed prepared to accept a short-term spending bill from Congress that did not include billions for a border wall, allowing for holiday vacations to begin as planned. By Thursday, he had abruptly shifted back to a hard-line position, saying he would rather see the government shut down than surrender on the border wall. そしてマチス国防長官の辞任 The resignation on Thursday of Defense Secretary James Mattis, who said he was leaving his post because of disagreements with the president over “treating allies with respect” and “being clear-eyed about both malign actors and strategic competitors,” exacerbated those concerns.（ry
Jennifer Rubin認証済みアカウント @JRubinBlogger 12時間12時間前（ワシントンポスト） the ground shifted substantially over the last week or so. The cracks in his Republican wall of support are widening,public more willing ? anxious even ? to see him go. Whether he leaves before 2020 is unknown, but it no longer seems like a pipe dream. この一週間で状況が変化して議会の共和党のトランプ大統領支持にひび割れが大きくな ってきている。一般大衆の支持はより大きく変化している。トランプ大統領が2020年の 大統領選以前にホワイトハウスを去るかは解らないが、しかし今やそれは夢物語ではない
https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/12/21/how-russian-money-helped-save-trumps-business/ How Russian Money Helped Save Trump’s Business After his financial disasters two decades ago, no U.S. bank would touch him. Then foreign money began flowing in. BY MICHAEL HIRSH | DECEMBER 21, 2018, 1:31 PM ロシアからの資金が、如何にしてトランプデ氏のビジネスを救済したか 二十年前の財政的危機で、米国の銀行はトランプ氏への融資を拒否したが、その後で 外国からの資金が流入し始めた
In the fall of 1992, after he cut a deal with U.S. banks to work off nearly a billion dollars in personal debt, Donald Trump put on a big gala for himself in Atlantic City to announce his comeback. Party guests were given sticks with a picture of Trump’s face glued to them so they could be photographed posing as the famous real-estate mogul. As the theme music from the movie Rocky filled the room, an emcee shouted, “Let’s hear it for the king!” and Trump, wearing red boxing gloves and a robe, burst through a paper screen. One of his casino executives announced that his boss had returned as a “winner,” according to Trump biographer Michael D’Antonio.
Trump eventually made a comeback, and according to several sources with knowledge of Trump’s business, foreign money played a large role in reviving his fortunes, in particular investment by wealthy people from Russia and the former Soviet republics.
This conclusion is buttressed by a growing body of evidence amassed by news organizations, as well as what is reportedly being investigated by Special Counsel Robert Mueller and the Southern District of New York. It is a conclusion that even Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., has appeared to confirm, saying in 2008?after the Trump Organization was prospering again?that “Russians make up a pretty disproportionate cross-section of a lot of our assets.” （後略）
●Mattis said he holds America’s alliances as a “core belief.” Trump believes in “America First.” ●Mattis basically accuses Trump of empowering the Kremlin (and China) （Mattis strongly implies that Trump’s chipping away at America’s alliances has been a boon to foes like Russia and China.） ●Syria seems to have been the breaking point for Mattis ●Mattis wasn’t always successful in persuading Trump. But are the guardrails completely off now?
Is wealthy philanthropy doing more harm than good? ・・・ ・・・the wealthier the donor, the less goes to the needy. Barely a fifth of philanthropy from the richest Americans goes to the poor. A lot goes to the arts, sports teams and other cultural pursuits. In addition to naming rights, these tend to bring front-row seats, premium access and private guided tours. A large share goes to religion. ・・・ https://www.ft.com/content/64d70736-0212-11e9-9d01-cd4d49afbbe3
A business professor at the distinguished University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School painted a frightening scenario of “market chaos” if President Donald Trump fires Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, reports Bloomberg. In a series of tweets, Professor Peter Conti-Brown responded to Trump’s anger with Powell after the Fed raised interest rates, hinting he might want the chairman replaced.
According to Conti-Brown, “The law isn’t clear. Trump can probably de-designate a Fed Governor as Board Chair, but not fire the Governor. That would violate a deeply held norm in Fed governance, but then, norms and Trump aren’t fast friends.”
He then added, “What immediate effect? Market chaos and Jay Powell still the Fed Chair. Because the even curiouser fact of Fed governance is that there are two Fed Chairs, not one. The Board Chair (controlled by President) and FOMC Chair, controlled by the FOMC.”
Conti-Brown then speculated that Trump could appoint someone close to him who will do his bidding, including Budget Chief Mick Mulvaney or ? bizarrely, but not unheard of for the president ? his son-in-law Jared Kushner.
http://www.aei.org/publication/the-islamic-state-is-not-defeated-in-syria-or-anywhere-else-look-at-africa/ Emily Estelle December 20, 2018 5:03 pm | AEIdeas The Islamic State is not defeated in Syria. Or anywhere else. Look at Africa. The Islamic State is not defeated in Syria, as the Trump administration asserted this week. The Islamic State is also alive and well in Africa. Militants affiliated with or inspired by the Islamic State have developed footholds across the continent, especially in regions facing instability, conflict, and poor governance. ISISはシリアで敗退しているわけではない、他の地域でもそうである、アフリカを見れば それがわかるだろう
図表：アフリカISIS
The Islamic State is not defeated in Syria or Africa because the conditions that permitted its rise remain. The Salafi-jihadi movement, which includes the Islamic State and al Qaeda, draws its strength not only from control of terrain, but from its ability to build ties to populations made vulnerable by governance failures and war. Such conditions are spreading in Africa, and the Salafi-jihadi threat from the continent will only grow if we convince ourselves that the Islamic State is “defeated.”
Emily Estelle is a senior analyst for the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute.
http://www.timesofisrael.com/mattis-said-to-cancel-trip-to-israel-following-resignation/ Departing Mattis said to cancel Israel trip, as Israel feels ‘betrayed’ on Syria TV report says US defense secretary was set to hold talks with in Israel next week on Iran and Syria; senior Israeli officials said to harshly criticize Syria pullout decision By TOI STAFF 21 December 2018, 10:44 pm 9 辞意を表明したマチス国防長官はイスラエル訪問を取りやめと伝えられる： シリアからの米軍全面撤退でイスラエルは米国に「裏要られた」と感じている。 TV報道記者によればマチス国防長官は来週、シリアとイラン問題でイスラエル 訪問予定であったが、イスラエル政府が米国の撤退を激しく非難したという。
Trump’s declaration was met with profound concern in Israel, with the US presence in Syria seen as a barrier to Iran’s military efforts there. A senior Israeli official quoted by Channel 10 said Mattis had informed Israeli leaders Trump might pull out American soldiers from Syria. It was not specified when Mattis reportedly said this.
Channel 10 news reported Wednesday that Netanyahu tried in vain to persuade Trump to change his mind, and that there was tremendous “disappointment” in Jerusalem over the pullout, which is regarded as a victory for Russia, Iran and Hezbollah.
The TV report described the US move as “a slap in the face” for Israel, noting that the US presence in Syria was “the only bargaining chip” in Israel’s efforts to persuade Russia to prevent Iran deepening its entrenchment in Syria.
Though top Israeli government officials have publicly refrained from criticizing the move, Channel 10 quoted a senior diplomatic official on Friday harshly criticizing Trump’s decision. “Trump threw us under the wheels of the semi-truck of the Russian army, the one that transfers weapons to Syria and Hezbollah,” the unnamed official said.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/boltons-hawkish-syria-plan-backfired-pushing-trump-to-get-out Bolton’s Hawkish Syria Plan Backfired, Pushing Trump to Get Out The national security adviser expanded U.S. goals in Syria to challenge Iran. But Trump wasn’t on board, senior officials say, and Turkey took an opportunity to push the U.S. out. Spencer Ackerman, Kimberly Dozier 12.21.18 9:15 PM ET ボルトン国家安全保障補佐官の強硬なシリア計画が裏目に出て、トランプ大統領のシリア からの全面撤退を招き、トルコに機会便乗されることとなった。ボルトンはイランに対抗 すべく、シリアに鷹派的であったが
●The shutdown demonstrates that Democrats won't just challenge Trump through oversight, but will also resist him in high-profile policy areas.
●It also shows that Trump, so proud of the bestselling status of "The Art of the Deal," is in no mood to finesse newly powerful Democrats. With his eye on 2020, he's all about the base, with no apparent plans to co-opt the center.
「国内外の市場参加者が注目しているのは具体的なコミットメントとタイムテーブルだ」 と同氏はリポートで指摘。「意味のある変化が起これば、マクロ経済面で19年における 最重要の世界的展開となる可能性がある」と論じた。中国の経済成長は来年１－３月 （第１四半期）終盤もしくは４－６月（第２四半期）まで底入れしない公算が大きいと も分析している。 原題：Goldman Says China-U.S. Deal Would Be 2019’s Top Economic Event（抜粋）
A “mystery filing” in the Supreme Court appears to be related to special counsel Robert Mueller’s probe into collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign in the 2016 election, analysis by Bloomberg News suggests. A sealed document “stems from a Dec. 18 federal appeals court ruling that required an unidentified company, owned by an unidentified foreign country, to turn over information to a grand jury.”
That grand jury hearing “has been shrouded in mystery,” the report says “because officials closed an entire floor of a federal courthouse in Washington during arguments.” The case was linked to Mueller by Politico, which reported overhearing a conversation about it in a court clerk’s office.
The so-called “mystery filing” requests that SCOTUS Chief John Roberts temporarily block a ruling by the appeals court in the same case as the secret hearing that was held in the closed courthouse, and tied to Mueller by Politico.
http://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/23/us/politics/trump-mattis.html Helene Cooper / New York Times: Trump, Angry Over Mattis's Rebuke, Considers Removing Him 2 Months Early ? WASHINGTON ? President Trump, angry over days of news coverage characterizing the resignation of Defense Secretary Jim Mattis as a rebuke of the president, has told administration officials that he is considering removing トランプ大統領はマチス国防長官の辞任を大統領への抗議とするメディア報道に怒り、 彼を予定より２ヶ月前に退任させ、後継には防衛副長官のPatrick Shanahanをあてる
Sen. Dick Durbin said he is heartbroken that Defense Secretary Jim Mattis is leaving the Cabinet and worried for the next two years of the Trump administration. “I was one of many senators who privately sat down with General Mattis and said, ‘Please stay, stay as long as you possibly can,‘“ Durbin (D-Ill.) said on NBC’s Meet the Press.“ “We desperately need your mature voice, your patriotism in the room when this president's making life or death decisions about national security. But it obviously reached a breaking point.“
Added the No. 2 Democrat in the Senate: “It breaks my heart that he’s going to step aside. We counted on him to be there and to stop this president from his worst impulse.” Talking to host Chuck Todd, Durbin said “the power of the purse strings” were the best way for the Senate to hold President Donald Trump accountable when it comes to foreign policy ? and managing ongoing wars in Afghanistan and elsewhere.
“We need to reassert our authority and responsibility when it comes to that,” he told host Chuck Todd, calling the president’s “snap judgment“ on a Syria withdrawal dangerous. “Every day I question whether or not we can endure another two years,” he said of his outlook for the duration of Trump’s term. “I think we can, I think this Constitution is strong. The American people are strong. But I'm hoping that my Republican colleagues will step up and join us in a bipartisan effort to put this government back on track.”
このほか、連邦準備法にある「正当な理由」の規定を巡っては一般に、独立機関の指導部 を解任しようとする場合、大統領は「非効率性や職務怠慢、不正行為」の証拠を示さなけ ればならないと、裁判所は解釈してきた。 連邦準備制度の法律顧問だったスコット・アルバレス氏は「正当な理由がある場合を除い て大統領が議長を含めＦＲＢ理事を解任することができないのは明らかだ。そして、正当 な理由とは不正行為や犯罪活動または、その他の何らかの不品行であって、政策の違いを 指すものではない」と指摘した。 原題：Trump Could Face Uphill Battle in Trying to Fire Fed’s Powell（抜粋）
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-populist-schism-over-syria-11545599006 Trump’s Populist Schism Over Syria His troop-withdrawal plan is politically risky. The Republican base is more hawkish than isolationist. By Walter Russell Mead Dec. 23, 2018 4:03 p.m. ET トランプ大統領のシリアを巡るポピュリスト政策の分裂； 大統領の米軍撤退は政治的にリスキーである。共和党の基盤は孤立主義者よりも鷹派的だ
The most surprising thing about President Trump’s decision to overrule his top advisers and withdraw U.S. forces from Syria and Afghanistan isn’t that it was improvised and disruptive. Sudden shifts are part of Mr. Trump’s method, and disconcerting senior officials is one of his favorite management tools. 大統領のトップの顧問等の反対を押し切って米軍の撤退を決めた大統領の判断の最も驚くべき 点は、それが即興的な破壊的な意思決定だということではない。突然の政策変更は大統領にあ っては彼の手法であり、高官らを戸惑わせることは彼の好むマネジメントのやり方である。
The surprise is that for the first time, Mr. Trump made a foreign-policy decision that divides the coalition that brought him into the White House and risks his control of the GOP. Mr. Trump has frequently challenged and（ry 驚くべきことは、トランプ大統領は初めて彼を大統領に押し上げた支持基盤の連合体を分裂させ かねない外交政策の判断を行った事である（ry
The Guardian認証済みアカウント @guardian 3時間3時間前 Robert Mueller has enjoyed a year of successes … 2019 could be even stronger ----------------------------------------- https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/dec/23/robert-mueller-year-of-successes-2018-donald-trump?CMP=twt_gu Robert Mueller has enjoyed a year of successes … 2019 could be even stronger To judge the effectiveness of the special counsel’s Trump-Russia inquiry look no urther than the reaction of those in its crosshairs
One measure of special counsel Robert Mueller’s prosecutorial success in 2018 is the list of former top Donald Trump aides brought to justice: Michael Cohen pleaded guilty, a jury convicted Paul Manafort, a judge berated Michael Flynn. Another measure is the tally of new defendants that Mueller’s team charged (34), the number of new guilty pleas he netted (five) and the amount of money he clawed back through tax fraud cases ($48m).
Lisa K Griffin, law professor at Duke University, said the Cohen raid appeared to be a watershed moment in the investigation, for the fuel it gave to Mueller but also to separate US attorney’s offices. “In hindsight it may appear that the most significant day in all of this was the day that federal agents executed search warrants on Michael Cohen’s office and home,” Griffin said, “because it continues to appear that there are many threads to both the southern district of New York and the special counsel’s investigation, that were generated by what they seized because of the longstanding relationship between Mr Cohen and the president.”
One year ago, the top question on the minds of many experienced observers was whether Trump would seek to fire Mueller. In the past seven weeks, the attorney general has been dismissed and the deputy attorney general, Rod Rosenstein, has been stripped of some of his power to oversee the special counsel. But Mueller is still in place, on the threshold of 2019, which might be his biggest year yet.
Trump’s focus on the stock market has long been a source of concern for economists, the Post noted ? and as he and officials in his administration attempt to slow the market’s slide, “it has become apparent why.” “On Monday, the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index closed in bear market territory, meaning the longest bull market for stocks in modern U.S. history is basically at its end,” the report noted, clarifying that “a bear market is a 20 percent decline from the all-time high, which occurred in September.” 米国の株式の歴史上、最長であった強気相場が終わろうとしている
While the president blames his own Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell for the bust, “many on Wall Street say Trump deserves some blame, too.” He’s reportedly begun asking his advisers if he can fire the Fed chair, the newspaper reported over the weekend. トランプ大統領は株式市場の低落をFRBの利上げのせいと非難しFRB議長のJerome H. Powell を更迭する計画を話しているとWSJが報道 The move “would be an unprecedented act in the United States and one that would spook markets and banks” ? a reality incoming White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tried to fend off over the weekend by insisting Trump knows he can’t fire Powell. FRB議長の更迭は前例のない事で米国と世界の市場や金融機関を驚愕させるとホワイトハウス の主任補佐官のMick Mulvaneyや財務長官のSteven Mnuchinが、それを阻止しようとしている。 Mnuchin dug a deeper hole when he revealed that he planned on spending Christmas Eve on the phone with the “Plunge Protection Team” a presidential working group of financial regulators.
“This group hasn’t been very active since 2008 to 2009, when the nation was in a massive financial crisis, which is why many economists are asking: If there are no problems, why call now?” the report noted. Rather than assessing the situation positively or apologizing, Trump took to Twitter to trash the Fed ? and led to an even steeper Dow fall, the Post reported. トランプ大統領はFRB非難を続け、事態がさらに悪化 “If you wanted to create financial market volatility, this is how you would do it,” economist Justin Wolfers tweeted. “Why a Treasury Secretary is in that game is beyond me.”
If anybody but your favorite President, Donald J. Trump, announced that, after decimating ISIS in Syria, we were going to bring our troops back home (happy & healthy), that person would be the most popular hero in America. With me, hit hard instead by the Fake News Media. Crazy!
実際、トランプ大統領は危機を引き起こすのと同時に、そうした危機に対処する機関を弱体化 させているように受け止められる。事態がどれほど緊迫しているか過小評価すべきではない。 大統領がツイッター投稿で怒りをぶちまけるたびに、現在の株安や他のリスク資産の弱気相場 を一段と悪化させる危険性は高まるのだ。 原題：Trump May Have Done Lasting Damage to the Fed: Tim Duy（抜粋）
Axios認証済みアカウント @axios 6時間6時間前 Military commanders have reportedly received "no timelines, hard numbers or orders" from the Pentagon ? “Nothing formal, just tweets,” said Navy Secretary Richard Spencer.
●Characteristically, President Trump responded to bad news on Christmas Eve by blaming others. As battered markets slumped again, he faulted the Federal Reserve.
●The end of 2018 makes clearer every day that the president himself represents a fundamental problem for America's economy and national security alike, writes CNBC's John Harwood.
●Falling financial markets, signs of economic softness and the prospect of a Democratic House have placed the president's leadership under a harsher spotlight.
トランプ大統領は25日、ムニューシン財務長官を「とても才能のある男、とても賢い人物だ」と たたえた。米連邦準備制度については「利上げペースが速過ぎる」と不満を示しながらも「信頼」 しているとした。 原題：U.S. Stock Futures Swing as S&P 500 Verges on a Bear Market（抜粋）
＊トランプ大統領は同盟国が米国の軍事的支援に（不当に）つけこむという。 マチス国防長官はその事を理解していないと主張； Donald J. Trump認証済みアカウント @realDonaldTrump To those few Senators who think I don’t like or appreciate being allied with other countries, they are wrong, I DO. What I don’t like, however, is when many of these same countries take advantage of their friendship with the United States, both in Military Protection and Trade.... We are substantially subsidizing the Militaries of many VERY rich countries all over the world, while at the same time these countries take total advantage of the U.S., and our TAXPAYERS, on Trade. General Mattis did not see this as a problem. I DO, and it is being fixed!
＊この大統領の見解に反論して（元国務次官、元NATO大使）Nicholas Burns Nicholas Burns @RNicholasBurns 12月24日 Nicholas BurnsさんがDonald J. Trumpをリツイートしました Those same #NATO allies defended us on 9/11 and are still in Afghanistan with us today. Still in the ISIS coalition with us and in Kosovo and Bosnia and many in Iraq. And helping to contain Putin in Europe. Important to acknowledge what they do for us. And to respect them.
Hideki Yui? @HidekiYui 12月24日 マティス国防長官の次はダンフォード統合参謀本部議長の辞任が前倒しか。マティス、 ケリー、ダンフォードは第一海兵遠征軍で同じ釜の飯を食った結束の固い3人だけに可 能性はある。With Mattis leaving the Pentagon, is Dunford next to go?
Mr. Whitaker, who was a tight end on the Iowa team from 1990 to 1992, claimed to have been an Academic All-American in his biography on his former law firm’s website and on a resume sent in 2014 to the chief executive of a now-closed patent-marketing firm, for which he sat on the advisory board. The resume was included in documents released last month by the Federal Trade Commission.
https://www.politicususa.com/2018/12/26/matt-whitaker-busted-for-lying-about-academic-honors.html Matt Whitaker would have been busted by the Senate if he would have been up for confirmation Someone who lies on their resume should not be the top law enforcement officer in the country. Whitaker would have been easily caught by the Senate if he would have been offered up for confirmation instead of appointed as an acting attorney general by Trump. この経歴詐称はMatthew Whitakerが正規に後継司法長官に指名されるなら上院の承認審議 で問題になっていたであろう（けれど、司法長官代行として指名されている範囲では上院の 審査を受けない）
虚偽の理由で徴兵を逃れていたとすれば批判は必至。 同紙によると、トランプ氏はベトナム戦争中、計5回徴兵を回避。うち4回は学生だったた めで、5回目は診断が理由だった。医師はクリニックが入居する不動産を巡って、トランプ 氏の父親から便宜を受けていたという。 This kiji is produced by 共同通信
http://www.thedailybeast.com/msnbc-beats-fox-news-in-weekly-cable-news-ratings-for-first-time-since-2000 Matt Wilstein / The Daily Beast: MSNBC Beats Fox News in Weekly Cable News Ratings for First Time Since 2000 ? MSNBC ended the week of Dec. 21st with the #1 cable news ratings on television, beating Fox News for the first time in 17 years. For the Monday through Friday leading up to the Christmas holiday クリスマスを控える週の視聴率で、MSNBCが2000年以降で初めてがFox Newsを17年 ぶりに抜き去った For the Monday through Friday leading up to the Christmas holiday, MSNBC averaged 1.558 million total viewers, while Fox averaged 1.541 million and CNN averaged 975,000. ---------------------------------------------------------------- https://apnews.com/be207fad1cc243bdb645cd71623395b5 Bad headlines for Trump also means ratings slump for Hannity By DAVID BAUDER トランプ大統領にとって悪いニュースが続き、（Foxの親トランプ番組の）Sean Hannity の番組の視聴率が悪化 His show averaged 2.76 million viewers since the election through Dec. 17, down 19 percent compared to the previous month, the Nielsen company said. Among the 25-to-54-year-old demo most coveted by advertisers, he’s down 30 percent. Competitors Rachel Maddow on MSNBC and Chris Cuomo on CNN are up in each measurement. ニールセンの調査では先月比で視聴率は19％の低下、一方でMSNBCのRachel Maddowや CNNのChris Cuomoの番組の視聴率は上昇
医師の娘が証言 “I know it was a favor,” explained one of Dr. Braunstein’s daughters, Elysa Braunstein. “What he got was access to Fred Trump. If there was anything wrong in the building, my dad would call and Trump would take care of it immediately. That was the small favor that he got,” she continued.
While there is no paper trail suggesting that Dr. Braunstein had used his position as a respected podiatrist in order to appease his landlord and excuse Donald Trump from being drafted into Vietnam, both of Braunstein’s daughters seem certain that this was the case. Additionally, Braunstein’s family also suggested that a second doctor was involved in the bone spur diagnosis ? Dr. Manny Weinstein. Like Braunstein, Weinstein also had connections to Mr. Trump. He happened to move into a Fred Trump-owned property the same year that Donald Trump received his exemption, and later rented a second apartment from Mr. Trump.
●39% approve of Trump, 56% don’t ? matching nadir of his popularity in August 2017, after Charlottesville protests. トランプ支持率＝39％、不支持率＝56％、2017年8月の低い値と同じ ●43% plurality says he is mostly to blame for shutdown; 53% also say he didn’t do enough to stop it from happening. 政府機関閉鎖を大統領のためとする見方が43％、52％が閉鎖回避の努力が不足という ●52% of Trump voters believe he won’t get full funding for border wall. トランプ支持者の52％は大統領が国境の壁全体の建設予算を得られないだろうという
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump is considering an executive order in the new year to declare a national emergency that would bar U.S. companies from using telecommunications equipment made by China’s Huawei and ZTE, three sources familiar with the situation told Reuters. It would be the latest step by the Trump administration to cut Huawei Technologies Cos Ltd [HWT.UL] and ZTE Corp, two of China’s biggest network equipment companies, out of the U.S. market. The United States alleges that the two companies work at the behest of the Chinese government and that their equipment could be used to spy on Americans.
The executive order, which has been under consideration for more than eight months, could be issued as early as January and would direct the Commerce Department to block U.S. companies from buying equipment from foreign telecommunications makers that pose significant national security risks, sources from the telecoms industry and the administration said.
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/investigations/article219016820.html Cell signal puts Cohen outside Prague around time of purported Russian meeting BY PETER STONE AND GREG GORDON DECEMBER 27, 2018 10:36 AM, UPDATED 32 MINUTES AGO トランプ大統領の前個人弁護士でフィクサーのマイケル・コーエンの携帯電話は 2016年夏、チェコのプラハで信号が検知されている事が判明。英国諜報員の書い た「dossier」は、この時期に、コーエンがプラハでロシアの諜報員と会合したと していた。
WASHINGTON A mobile phone traced to President Donald Trump’s former lawyer and “fixer” Michael Cohen briefly sent signals ricocheting off cell towers in the Prague area in late summer 2016, at the height of the presidential campaign, leaving an electronic record to support claims that Cohen met secretly there with Russian officials, four people with knowledge of the matter say.
During the same period of late August or early September, electronic eavesdropping by an Eastern European intelligence agency picked up a conversation among Russians, one of whom remarked that Cohen was in Prague, two people familiar with the incident said. この時期に東欧の諜報組織はロシア諜報員間の会話を盗聴していて、マイケル・コーエンが プラハに居ると話していたことが報告されている
The phone and surveillance data, which have not previously been disclosed, lend new credence to a key part of a former British spy’s dossier of Kremlin intelligence describing purported coordination between Trump’s campaign and Russia’s election meddling operation. プラハでのコーエンの携帯電話の信号存在や東欧の諜報組織員の会話はこれまで公表されて おらず英国諜報員の作成した「dossier」の記述に注目を与える。「dossier」はロシア諜報 組織がトランプ大統領選挙キャンペーンへのロシアの干渉についてコーディネーションがあ ったとしている
The dossier, which Trump has dismissed as “a pile of garbage,” said Cohen and one or more Kremlin officials huddled in or around the Czech capital to plot ways to limit discovery of the close “liaison” between the Trump campaign and Russia. 「dossier」はトランプ陣営に否定されてきたが、コーエンのプラハでのロシア諜報員との 会談が明らかになれば、記述の信憑性が高まる Both of the newly surfaced foreign electronic intelligence intercepts were shared with Special Counsel Robert Mueller, people familiar with the matter said. Mueller is investigating Russia’s 2016 election interference and whether Trump’s campaign colluded in the scheme. Mueller also is examining whether Trump has obstructed the sweeping inquiry. 外国の諜報機関による此等の情報は、モラー特別検察官チームに共有されている Former Watergate prosecutor Jill Wine-Banks said that if disclosures of the foreign intelligence intercepts are true, “This is a very significant break, because it looks like a direct link between Donald Trump’s personal fixer and Russians most likely involved in the disruption of our election.” “It would prove that lying was going on, not only about being in Prague, but much beyond the Prague episode,” she said.
Steele’s dossier, a compilation of intelligence from his network of Kremlin sources, is full of uncorroborated details about the purported meeting. It said Konstantin Kosachev, a longtime member of the Russian Senate and chairman of the Federation Council’s Foreign Affairs Committee, “facilitated” the gathering. Steele reported that Kosachev may well have represented the Russians in Prague, where he had extensive ties. But Mike Carpenter, a former Russia specialist at the Pentagon under President Barack Obama, said that seems unlikely ? about “as discreet as sending (Secretary of State) Mike Pompeo to meet with an informant on a sensitive issue.”
Although President Donald Trump has referred to the dossier as a “pile of garbage,” much of it has been authenticated by news and intelligence services. The cell phone signal intelligence has reportedly been shared with special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation.
Red T Raccoon @RedTRaccoon 26分26分前 Holy smoking gun?Michael Cohen's phone pinged off cell towers in Prague in summer 2016.
Maya Wiley認証済みアカウント @mayawiley 30分30分前 “..TRUMP’s lawyer, #MichaelCOHEN, in the ongoing secret liaison relationship between the New York tycoon’s campaign and the Russian leadership. COHEN’s role had grown following the departure of Paul MANNAFORT [sic] as TRUMP’s campaign manager in August 2016.” #SteeleDossier
Maya Wiley認証済みアカウント @mayawiley #MichaelCohen in Prague meeting w #Russians is explosive. It wld mean he lied, yet again, & met with Russians close to the 2016 election. Giuliani seemed to admit that #TrumpTowerMoscow was in play as late as November 2016.
The cell phone data is significant because it lends at least a degree of credence to the Steele Dossier, which Trump supporters claim was improperly used to acquire a warrant for surveillance of former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page as part of the FBI’s investigation of Russian election interference. The FBI has never publicly verified the contents of the dossier, and therefore critics of the ongoing Russia probe point to it as evidence that the investigation was compromised early on. 携帯電話信号によるマイケル・コーエンのプラハ訪問の証明は Steele Dossierの信憑性 を高める意味において大きなものがある
We know for sure that Michael Cohen took a trip to Italy in July 2016 (which is in the Schengen Area, just like Prague). We also know that there have long been rumors about a jet owned by Russian fertilizer oligarch Dmitry Rybolovlev -- you know, the Russian who bought that South Florida mansion from Trump for a ridiculous profit -- spiriting Trump people, including Cohen, from the Hamptons off to Europe just after the Republican convention. The plane went from Nice and then on to Dubrovnik, Croatia (where Ivanka and Jared mysteriously showed up on vacation, WEIRD!), and then off toward Budapest, which is really close to ...
Hey, maybe Cohen went to Prague but it didn't go down exactly like the dossier says. Maybe Steele got the Eastern European city wrong and it was Budapest, which would make a hell of a lot of sense. (Can a phone in Budapest ping in Prague?)
Regardless, this all brings us back to the same question we have for every single person in Trump's orbit since the early days of the campaign, which is why the fuck have they been lying about every single bit of this? What on earth have they been trying to hide?
Anyway, none of this is very surprising, but it's WHOA IF TRUE just the same. We just wonder how many Trump people are banging their heads against the wall today realizing they all asked Siri for directions to their secret Russia spy meetings, on their personal iPhones, Jesus Christ, what fucking idiots.
Nonetheless, Cohen has denied being in Europe at any point in that window. If his phone was near Prague during the period of time when Steele’s Kremlin insider alleged that Cohen had been there, then Steele had correct information. While there could have been innocent explanations why Cohen had traveled surreptitiously to Europe, those are no longer available because Cohen made the decision to deny that the trip ever took place. That there are reportedly intercepts that independently confirm his presence there is the exact kind of corroboration that is required to lock down that there has been a gigantic coverup.
This is why I wrote back in April that “if Michael Cohen went to Prague, then Donald Trump will be impeached, convicted, and removed from office, assuming he doesn’t resign.”
Of course, this will be more assured if Cohen tells the full story under the glaring lights of a House Judiciary Committee impeachment hearing. It’s too early to say whether or not that will happen, but if it does there will not be a defense available for Trump. Cohen’s trip would be sufficient evidence of the type of collusion and conspiracy that has been suspected all along.
>>308 マイケル・コーエンはこの記事（プラハ訪問）を否定している I hear #Prague #CzechRepublic is beautiful in the summertime. I wouldn’t know as I have never been. #Mueller knows everything! ? Michael Cohen (@MichaelCohen212) December 27, 2018
Outgoing Defense Secretary James Mattis rejected a request from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to soften the United States' conditions for a $500 million arms deal between Israel and Croatia for the sale of 12 F-16 fighter jets, an Israeli official told me.
Why it matters: Mattis' position practically killed the deal, according to the Israeli official, who is involved in the negotiations. In order to give a green light to the deal, the U.S. demanded that Israel remove the Israeli systems installed in the F-16s and return the jets to their original condition before transferring them to Croatia. The Croatians responded that they would cancel the deal if they couldn't get the "upgraded" Israeli version of the F-16s.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/special-counsel-robert-mueller-seized-russian-trolls-nude-selfies?ref=scroll Special Counsel Robert Mueller Seized Russian Trolls’ ‘Nude Selfies’ The special counsel turned over reams of material from the email and social media accounts of accused Russian trolls. Kevin Poulsen 12.27.18 6:40 PM ET モラー特別検察官のチームは、ペテルスブルグのIRA（Internet Research Agency）の ネット工作組織（troll farm）の400万ページのSNSや電子メールのデータを押収している
Special Counsel Robert Mueller has collected at least three million pages of material from the email and social media accounts of accused Russian trolls, including random spam and “nude selfies.” This is according to a new filing by Washington, D.C., lawyer Eric Dubelier, who’s representing one of the defendants in Mueller’s case against the Internet Research Agency, the St. Petersburg troll farm that used fake accounts to sow discord and boost Donald Trump in the 2016 election.
Mueller's team has given Dubelier nearly 4 million pages of pre-trial discovery, but designated 3.2 million of those pages as too sensitive for the lawyer to share with his own client in Russia, despite the fact that the documents are unclassified and came largely from the trolls’ own accounts at services like Gmail and Yahoo.（ry
英訳版 Regarding the incident of an ROK naval vessel directing its fire-control radar at an MSDF patrol aircraft http://www.m od.go.jp/e/press/release/2018/12/28z.html
●A Trump administration official has reached out to a notable investor for advice on stock markets, sources told CNBC. トランプ政権の高官が著名な大物投資家に株式市場のアドバイスを求めた ●A call took place after markets plunged on Christmas Eve. この連絡はクリスマス・イブの暴落の後 ●The investor advised the official to tell Trump to stop criticizing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 投資家のアドバイスは、大統領にFRB批判をやめ、中国との合意を目指せと言え Scott Wapner @ScottWapnercnbc Published 8 Hours Ago Updated 4 Hours Ago
The sources said the investor advised the official to tell the president to end his criticism of Powell on Twitter, stop administration turnover and reach a trade deal with China in order to help markets.
No aspect of the scandal surrounding President Donald J. Trump’s hidden relations with Russia has been more controversial than the reputed summer 2016 trip to the Czech Republic by Michael Cohen, Trump’s longtime consigliere. Now, a confluence of intelligence that’s found its way into the hands of special counsel Robert Mueller may finally provide some long-awaited answers. (略) Cohen, predictably, issued more denials. He’s mostly been laying low since he went to Federal court earlier this month and admitted his guilt in several crimes, receiving a three-year prison sentence. Yet he took to Twitter yesterday to proclaim: “I hear #Prague #CzechRepublic is beautiful in the summertime. I wouldn’t know as I have never been. #Mueller knows everything!”
Cohen’s strong track record of public dissimulation and outright lies means none of his statements should be taken at face value without independent corroboration, particularly in light of his statement to the Wall Street Journal in January 2017, when the Prague allegation broke, that he hadn’t been to the Czech capital since 2001.
Besides, the important part of the McClatchy story isn’t the cell phone data, rather indications that friendly spies had information about the reputed Prague trip. As the report states, “[in] late August or early September, electronic eavesdropping by an Eastern European intelligence agency picked up a conversation among Russians, one of whom remarked that Cohen was in Prague.” In other words, a friendly spy service picked up signals intelligence that may corroborate the Steele dossier.
In addition, the National Security Agency, our own eavesdroppers, intercepted at least one similar piece of intelligence back in the late summer of 2016. As an NSA official told me, this SIGINT was highly classified and involved “senior Kremlin types” mentioning that Michael Cohen was in Prague. It was “office chit-chat, really,” explained the NSA official, and it included no details of what Cohen was doing in the Czech Republic, yet “these Russians stated it as a fact” that the Prague trip happened when the Steele dossier said it did.
Multiple intelligence reflections provide tantalizing clues in this mysterious case. Taken together they may indicate that the secret meeting in or around Prague indeed happened. However, Russians being Russians, it cannot be ruled out that this is one more cagey Kremlin ruse to fool Western spies?SIGINT deception does happen sometimes. Yet the NSA official indicated that such deception was unlikely in this case, given the nature of the top-secret intelligence operation that netted the intercept.（ry
This may all come down to what Mueller knows versus what Cohen has told him about the reputed Prague meeting. In the SIGINT world, such tells are called “reflections” and they happen all the time. They’re not hard evidence, yet they are intriguing. If Russians?particularly prominent or well-connected ones?believed that Michael Cohen was visiting the Czech Republic when it’s claimed he was, that’s an important fact, even if far from decisive proof. That unnamed Eastern European intelligence agency shared their Cohen SIGINT report with American counterparts some time ago, my sources tell me, and it’s in the possession of Robert S. Mueller, III and his Special Counsel investigation.
>>356 Louise Bagshawe@LouiseBagshawe 5時間5時間前 Cannot help a little friendly teasing over @20committee’s fascinating latest bombshell on Cohen in Prague #SteeleDossier vs the doubters - and they are all coming around. Read Prof. Schindler’s scoop here - @NSAgov has SIGINT on Cohen in Prague
シティグループ・グローバル・マーケッツのエコノミスト、セザール・ロハス氏（ニュ ーヨーク在勤）は最近のリポートで「2018年以降の貿易のかい離と解決が遅れて宙ぶら りん状態の関税問題が19年にかけて続くことにより不透明感の強い状態が継続し、貿易 と投資計画に引き続き影響を及ぼすだろう」と記述している。 原題：World Economy Is Set to Feel the Delayed Trade War Pain in 2019（抜粋）
http://time.com/5490169/paul-manafort-victor-boyarkin-debts/ Exclusive: Russian Ex-Spy Pressured Manafort Over Debts to an Oligarch By SIMON SHUSTER / RHODES, GREECE 8:00 AM EST TIME雑誌・独占記事：前トランプ選対議長のポール・マナフォートは、ロシアのオリガキー のVictor Boyarkinから彼の借りた金銭のために圧力を受けていた
When the U.S. government put out its latest sanctions list on Dec. 19, the man named at the top did not seem especially important. Described in the document as a former Russian intelligence officer, he was accused of handling money and negotiations on behalf of a powerful Russian oligarch. The document did not mention that the man, Victor Boyarkin, had links to the 2016 campaign of President Donald Trump.
A months-long investigation by TIME, however, found that Boyarkin, a former arms dealer with a high forehead and a very low profile, was a key link between a senior member of the Trump campaign and a powerful ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin. In his only interview with the media about those connections, Boyarkin told TIME this fall that he was in touch with Trump’s then-campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, in the heat of the presidential race on behalf of the Russian oligarch. “He owed us a lot of money,” Boyarkin says. “And he was offering ways to pay it back.”
The former Russian intelligence officer says he has been approached by the office of Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who is investigating possible collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign. Boyarkin’s response to those investigators? “I told them to go dig a ditch,” he says. Peter Carr, the spokesman for the Special Counsel’s Office, declined to comment. Through his spokesman, Manafort likewise declined to comment on his alleged connections with Boyarkin. But those connections could be potentially important to the Special Counsel’s inquiry. They would mark some of the clearest evidence of the leverage that powerful Russians had over Trump’s campaign chairman. And they may shed light on why Manafort discussed going right back to work for pro-Russian interests in Eastern Europe after he crashed out of the Trump campaign in August 2016, according to numerous sources in the TIME investigation.
‘Our friend V’ When he joined the campaign in the spring of 2016, Manafort was nearly broke. The veteran political consultant had racked up bills worth millions of dollars in luxury real estate, clothing, cars and antiques. According to allegations contained in court records filed in the U.S. and the Cayman Islands, he was also deeply in debt to Boyarkin’s boss, the Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, who was demanding money from Manafort over a failed business deal in Ukraine and other ventures.
Boyarkin says it fell to him to collect the debt from Manafort. “I came down on him hard,” he says. But the American proved elusive. In a petition filed in the Cayman Islands in 2014, lawyers for Deripaska, a metals tycoon with close ties to the Kremlin, complain that Manafort and his then-partner had “simply disappeared” with around $19 million of the Russian’s money.
When he reappeared in the headlines around April 2016, Manafort was serving as an unpaid adviser to the Trump campaign. He wanted his long-time patron in Moscow to know all about it.
In a series of emails sent that spring and summer, Manafort tried to offer “private briefings” about the presidential race to Deripaska, apparently, as one of the emails puts it, to “get whole.” Reports in The Atlantic and the Washington Post revealed those emails in the fall of 2017. Among the questions that remained unanswered was the identity of Manafort’s contact in Moscow, the one referred to in one of the emails as “our friend V.”
Even after TIME learned his full name in April, he proved a difficult man to find. His online presence amounted to digital scraps: one photo of him at a conference in Moscow, a few benign quotes in the Russian media from his years selling arms for state-linked companies, and some vague references in U.S. government archives to someone by that name, “Commander Viktor A. Boyarkin,” serving in the 1990s as an assistant naval attache at the Russian embassy in Washington, D.C. ? a job sometimes used as cover for intelligence agents.（ry
"I think maybe it causes the American people to take pause and say, wait a minute, if we have someone who is as selfless and as committed as Jim Mattis resign his position, walking away from all the responsibility he feels for every service member in our forces and he does so in a public way like that, we ought to stop and say, 'OK, why did he do it?,'" McChrystal said on "This Week." 「私は思うに、マチス国防長官のような没我的で使命にコミットしている人が職位を 辞し、その責任ある立場から立ち退くのであれば、我々は立ち止まって『一体どうし たことで彼は辞任するのか？』と考えてみるべきなのだ」
“I would ask [potential candidates] to look in the mirror and ask them if they can get comfortable enough with President Trump's approach to governance, how he conducts himself with his values and with his worldview to be truly loyal to him as a commander in chief and going forward,” McChrystal said. “If there's too much of a disconnect then I would tell him I think it’s -- it would be a bad foundation upon which to try to build a successful partnership at that job.” McChrystal said he would not take a job in the Trump administration if he were asked.
"I think it's important for me to work for people who I think are basically honest, who tell the truth as best they know it," he said. "I'm very tolerant of people who make mistakes because I make so many of them -- and I've been around leaders who've made mistakes ... but through all of them, I almost never saw people trying to get it wrong. And I almost never saw people who were openly disingenuous on things."
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/dec/30/john-kelly-donald-trump-los-angeles-times-interview John Kelly: judge me on what Trump didn't do while I was chief of staff Retired general gives interview to Los Angeles Times Statements on immigration and more likely to anger president 退任するホワイトハウス首席補佐官のJohn Kelly：「私が任務にあった期間に トランプ大統領が『何をしなかったか』で私を評価してほしい LAタイムズのインタビューに答えた。彼の移民やその他のコメントとは大統領 を怒らせるだろう
“Illegal immigrants, overwhelmingly, are not bad people,” Kelly said, describing many migrants as victims misled by traffickers. “I have nothing but compassion for them, the young kids.”
Kelly, an immigration hardliner, also clashed with the man who is still his boss when he said: “If you want to stop illegal immigration, stop US demand for drugs, and expand economic opportunity” in Central America.
Citing the thorny question of withdrawing troops from Afghanistan and Trump’s urge to pull out of Nato, the Times said Kelly “defended his rocky tenure, arguing that it is best measured by what the president did not do when Kelly was at his side”.
The retired four-star Marine general will leave the administration on Wednesday. First as Homeland Security chief and then in 18 months at the White House, he presided over some of the Trump administration’s most controversial immigration and security policies. In the phone interview Friday, Kelly defended his rocky tenure, arguing that it is best measured by what the president did not do when Kelly was at his side.
It was only after Kelly’s departure was confirmed Dec. 8, for example, that Trump abruptly announced the pullout of all U.S. troops from Syria and half the 14,000 troops from Afghanistan, two moves that Kelly had opposed.（ry
Financial Times認証済みアカウント @FinancialTimes 2018年12月31日 Global bond markets enjoyed their best month in more than a year in December ? as rising concerns over the health of the global economy sent investors into the safety of fixed income
Julia Davis? @JuliaDavisNews 2018年12月31日（米国のロシア・メディア研究者） #Russia's state TV praises Trump's decision to withdraw the troops from Syria and Afghanistan, shows off Rand Paul saying that "Russia is a major player on the world stage" and "Assad won the war."
【ソウル聯合ニュース】トランプ米大統領は１日（米東部時間）、「私も金正恩（キム・ ジョンウン）国務委員長（朝鮮労働党委員長）と会うことを期待する」とツイッターで 明らかにした。 金委員長が「新年の辞」で、２回目の朝米（米朝）首脳会談への意欲を示したことに対し ての発言とみられる。トランプ氏は「金委員長は北朝鮮が偉大な経済的潜在力を持ってい る事実を知っている」と述べた。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Donald J. Trump認証済みアカウント @realDonaldTrump 2 時間2 時間前 “Kim Jong Un says North Korea will not make or test nuclear weapons, or give them to others - & he is ready to meet President Trump anytime.” PBS News Hour. I also look forward to meeting with Chairman Kim who realizes so well that North Korea possesses great economic potential!
例えば、この記事だって、CIAのアフガニスタンでの対テロ戦闘の暴虐性を 批判してるが、米軍や国務省批判は避けているし、対タリバン戦そのものの 根拠の無さへの批判に至っては及びもつかない。 C.I.A.’s Afghan Forces Leave a Trail of Abuse and Anger-The fighters hold the line in the war’s toughest spots, but officials say their brutal tactics are terrorizing the public and undermining the U.S. mission.・・・ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/31/world/asia/cia-afghanistan-strike-force.html
アップルの業績下方修正は異例。ティム・クック最高経営責任者（CEO）はCNBCテレ ビで、米中貿易摩擦の激化も中国景気の下押し要因になっていると指摘した。 売上高は前年同期比1～5％増を想定していた。売上高が前年同期の実績を下回るのは 16年7～9月期以来、9四半期ぶりとなる。 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-stock-falls-8-after-cutting-holiday-sales-forecast-2019-01-02 Apple cuts holiday sales forecast on iPhone and China weakness, stock falls 8% By Jeremy C. Owens Published: Jan 2, 2019 6:29 p.m. ET アップルの業績下方修正で株価が（市場の引け後の取引で） 8%下落
The yen surged against the dollar in late New York trading Wednesday, as a weaker- than-expected sales forecast from Apple Inc. and Chinese data raised concerns over a slowing global economy.
The dollar was recently down 1.5% against the Japanese yen at 107.20. Other currencies sensitive to China and global growth, such as the Australian dollar, were also lower. Some investors buy the yen during times of economic or political turmoil, believing it will hold its value better than other currencies when markets turn rocky.
Dr. Mark P. Barry @DrMarkPBarry Former Unification Minister says N. Korea may be working on plan B if talks with US break down
Jenny Town@j3nnyt0wn The bigger question: does Moon have a Plan B in case US-#DPRK talks break down?
Robert E Kelly認証済みアカウント @Robert_E_Kelly 15時間15時間前（釜山大学教授、 政治学、北朝鮮研究） No. Moon’s bet his presidency on this; he’ll cleave to it no matter what, even pretending it’s a success if necessary, as Trump is doing. NK outreach is the one big thing the public likes in what’s otherwise been a mediocre POTROK. Foreigners obsessed w/ NK don’t see this
Senator Dick Durbin認証済みアカウント @SenatorDurbin 12時間12時間前 Let me be clear: Dems support strong, effective border security. The type of border security that Dems have long-supported, including increased funds for tech, is what experts have said is needed & actually works. What doesn’t work is an ineffective, expensive & medieval wall.
ダブルライン・キャピタルのジェフリー・ガンドラック最高経営責任者（ＣＥＯ）は「こう したことは弱気相場で起きるものだ」とＣＮＢＣに対し電子メールでコメントした。同ＣＥ Ｏは先月、米国株と社債を回避するよう投資家に呼び掛けていた。 原題：Bears Back in Control of Stocks as Apple Warning Ends Calm Week（抜粋）
Survey Monkey online poll conducted Dec. 17-18, 2018, among 2,301 adults. Total margin of error is ±3.0 percentage points; Poll methodology; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios Most Americans think the economy is growing now, but they're worried that a recession could be coming this year, according to a new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.
Between the lines: Democrats are more pessimistic than Republicans and independents, but majorities across the board say a recession could happen, including a slight majority of Republicans. That suggests an emerging economic anxiety that President Trump hasn't had to deal with until now.
Shares of Apple Inc. AAPL, -9.02% were producing the stiffest headwind for the Dow Jones Industrial Average in early Thursday action after the iPhone maker made a rare cut to its sales forecast. The Cupertino, Calif., tech behemoth was slashing about 100 points from the Dow DJIA, -1.51% with the blue-chip index down 335 points or 1.4%.
01/03 BreakingDow tumbles 650 points as Apple news, manufacturing data spark fears of global slowdown 01/03 Apple's stock suffers biggest-ever price decline of $15.73, breaks previous record of $14.74 on Nov. 2, 2018 01/03 S&P 500 ends 2.5% lower; Nasdaq falls 3% 4:29p Stocks and the oil market fall together thanks to global economic worries 4:20p Updated The stock market just logged the worst start to a year in 2 decades
http://time.com/5492636/donald-trump-generals/ Why Trump’s Generals Have Abandoned Ship By JAMES STAVRIDIS January 3, 2019 Admiral Stavridis (Ret.) was the 16th Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and is an Operating Executive at The Carlyle Group. トランプ大統領の登用した高位の軍人達が政権を見きった理由 （筆者はマクマスター、ジョン・ケリー、ジェームス・マチス等をよく知る前NATO 統合指揮官） In the cases of Generals H.R. McMaster, John Kelly and, finally, James Mattis?all of whom I’ve counted as not just colleagues but also friends?the details of each individual departure vary somewhat. But the common theme is actually pretty simple: President Trump simply cannot be briefed, staffed, scheduled or organized in a manner that long-serving military personnel find effective.
The President famously does not actually read the voluminous policy papers with which he is presented. From the perspective of a senior military mind, this would be akin to a car refusing to be gassed up. According to multiple reported accounts, Trump’s briefings have to be put in the simplest terms; the traditional complex military PowerPoint slides were anathema to him. トランプ大統領はよく知られる通り、大統領府の出す分量のある政策文書を読むこと をせず、彼へのブリーフィングは最も単純な形である必要があって通常の軍の使う パワーポイントのプリゼンシ資料は受け付けられない
There was also an ongoing sense that the President’s moral structure was, shall we say charitably, unconventional to the military mind.
The President’s style of playing loose with the truth and facts?including by saying on Jan. 2 that he “essentially” fired Mattis, something he did not do?grate on the military mind. General Stanley McChrystal, who retired during the Obama Administration, said in a recent interview that Trump is a liar and an immoral figure. His blunt and direct comments provide a pretty good summary of what most generals think about the President’s character.
In the military, we say the first duty of an officer is to bring order out of chaos. I’m glad that the generals stepped into the breach. But in the end, each of them had to ask himself, At what point does my serving in this White House become less a guardrail and more an enabler?
And what will it ultimately mean that the hard-won credibility of my life and career supported the work of this Administration? That is an intensely personal choice that I suspect each will address over time. But I do believe that for each of them, leaving had a modicum of relief mixed in with the bitter knowledge that try as they might, they could not accomplish the mission.
https://www.rferl.org/a/trump-urges-russia-pakistan-india-to-fight-in-afghanistan-soviet-union-ussr/29689008.html Trump Calls On Russia, Pakistan To Take More Active Role In Afghan Conflict Last Updated: January 03, 2019 14:04 GMT By RFE/RL トランプ大統領はロシアとパキスタンがアフガニスタンでより積極的役割を担うことを求める ----------------------------------------------------------------- Richard N. Haass認証済みアカウント @RichardHaass 24時間24時間前（外交評議会代表） For the record, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was a classic case of imperial overreach. And Pakistan’s involvement there is a big reason why the Taliban remain strong and the war continues. The last thing we need is continued Pakistani involvement. 念の為に書いておくが、ロシアのアフガニスタン侵攻は古典的な帝国主義的な拡大政策であり、 パキスタンのアフガニスタン関与はタリバンが依然として強力であり、戦争の継続している事 の大きな理由である。パキスタンのアフガニスタン継続関与は我々にとって最悪である。
＊FTの論説主幹、マーチン・ウルフの中国悲観論の論説について Richard N. Haass認証済みアカウント @RichardHaass 1月2日 Thoughtful piece by @martinwolf on why China’s continued eco rise not to be assumed. Slowing would raise issues for Party legitimacy, internal stability and possibly raise temptation to satisfy public frustration w more assertive foreign policy.
＊ちなみに、マーチン・ウルフはインドの発展可能性について Financial Times認証済みアカウント @FinancialTimes 1月2日 Martin Wolf: India is due to be the world’s most populous country in the near future and its politics are increasingly focused on economic performance. This does not guarantee success. But it does make it more likely.
A defiant and isolated Donald Trump won’t budge. The U.S. economy was never going to grow at 4% forever. A slowdown was always expected. And now it’s here. The economy is throttling back to its 2% trend.
If this economic moderation were all that were happening, the reaction in markets probably wouldn’t be too severe. The smart money always knew that the fiscal stimulus would be temporary and that the Federal Reserve would take away the punch bowl gradually.
What few counted on was that the chaos in the White House would be permanent. President Donald Trump hasn’t settled in to his office and never will. Even after his party suffered a catastrophic loss in the House (largely due to the voters’ disapproval of Trump himself), Trump refused to change.
What’s more, he refused to accept facts: That he lost, and that he will have to deal with Democrats one way or the other for the next two years.
So far, Trump isn’t budging on China or the wall. He seems to be enjoying China’s economic problems, perhaps because he believes in a zero-sum world where China’s losses are America’s gains. Similarly, he’s in no hurry to get the government up and running again.
In this environment, it’s no surprise that Wall Street is a bit panicked. U.S. businesses, too, are becoming more defensive, pulling back on their plans to invest and expand. Consumer behavior hasn’t been affected much yet, but if people get a whiff of hard times coming, they’ll surely hunker down to ride it out.（ry
Adam Schiff認証済みアカウント @RepAdamSchiff（民主党下院議員） For two years, the Republican Majority refused to hold the Trump Administration accountable. That ends today.
We will do our jobs. We will work to raise incomes and help all families succeed. We will protect healthcare. And we will do vital oversight.
he conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board on Friday hammered President Donald Trump for completely botching the history of the Soviet Union invasion of Afghanistan.
Trump this week claimed that the Soviet Union in 1979 was “right” to invade Afghanistan because terrorists were coming into their country, when it reality the USSR went into the country to prop up a communist government that was under siege by rebels.
“We cannot recall a more absurd misstatement of history by an American President,” the Journal wrote. “The Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan with three divisions in December 1979 to prop up a fellow communist government. The invasion was condemned throughout the non-communist world. The Soviets justified the invasion as an extension of the Brezhnev Doctrine, asserting their right to prevent countries from leaving the communist sphere.”（ry ------------------------------------------------------------ https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-cracked-afghan-history-11546560234 OPINION REVIEW & OUTLOOK Trump’s Cracked Afghan History His falsehoods about allies and the Soviets reach a new low. By The Editorial Board Jan. 3, 2019 7:03 p.m. ET
President Trump’s remarks on Afghanistan at his Cabinet meeting Wednesday were a notable event. They will be criticized heavily, and deservedly so. The full text is available on the White House website.
The numbers: The U.S. gained 312,000 new jobs in December, capping off the biggest increase in hiring in three years and showing the economy still has plenty of staying power despite growing worries about a slowdown. The surge in hiring was the largest since February. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast a 182,000 increase.
Nicholas Burns @RNicholasBurns The U.S. begins the year with mounting foreign policy challenges?Kim defiant that he won’t denuclearize; Xi raises stakes on Taiwan; a confused Syria strategy; an emboldened Putin. And we are AWOL on Climate. Time to re-open the government and get to work.
Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT), a member of the House intelligence committee, told The Daily Beast he has been discussing the matter with other members. And he’s eager for Trump administration officials to answer lawmakers’ questions about their move.
“I think senior Treasury people should come to the Hill and explain this deal,” he said, referring to the agreement between the U.S. and Deripaska that allowed the sanctions to be lifted. “We need to get more information fast,” he added, “and of course the leverage that we have is a resolution of disapproval.”（ry
Financial Times認証済みアカウント @FinancialTimes 4時間4時間前 The FT View: Financial markets rumbled after Apple warned of weak iPhone sales in China ? crystallising concerns over Donald Trump's tariffs. But investors must trust that policymakers have common sense.
Donald J. Trump認証済みアカウント @realDonaldTrump 06:45:27
The story in the New York Times regarding Jim Webb being considered as the next Secretary of Defense is FAKE NEWS. I’m sure he is a fine man, but I don’t know Jim, and never met him. Patrick Shanahan, who is Acting Secretary of Defense, is doing a great job! https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1081305634115674112
JackRussellCrowe @JackRussellCrow トランプ大統領 NY timesで報じられたJim Webbが国防長官候補であるという記事はフェイクだ。 彼は素晴らしい人材であろうと思うが、私は彼を知らないし、会ったこともない。 国防長官代行をしているPatrick Shanahanは良くやっている
President Donald Trump claimed without evidence on Friday that past presidents have privately confided to him that they regret not building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. But at least three of the four living U.S. presidents ? Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama ? did no such thing.
The White House did not respond to a request for an explanation of Trump’s remarks, which came during a lengthy appearance in the Rose Garden in which he insisted he won’t reopen the government until Democrats relent and approve more than $5 billion for the wall. ホワイトハウスは説明を求めた問い合わせに無回答
“This should have been done by all of the presidents that preceded me and they all know it," Trump said. "Some of them have told me that we should have done it.”
Trump has a long track record of exaggerating, embellishing or outright not telling the truth. Fact-checkers have identified thousands of false claims since Trump took office. トランプ大統領は誇張や粉飾の事実に反する発言の多くの記録がある
在キューバ米大使館員らに頭痛、吐き気、聴覚障害をもたらした音波は、 Indies short-tailed cricketというコオロギの鳴き声であることが学術的に明らかになった。 ・・・Diplomatic officials may have been targeted with an unknown weapon in Havana. But a recording of one “sonic attack” actually is the singing of a very loud cricket, a new analysis concludes.・・・ https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/04/science/sonic-attack-cuba-crickets.html
BBCが、本マグロが史上最高値の３億3360万円でセリ落とされたことを報じたが、 これはこの魚が絶滅危惧種指定寸前の状態であることを象徴している、と皮肉をきかせ、 日本が商業捕鯨再開を決めたことまで持ち出して揶揄している。 ・・・A Japanese sushi boss has paid a record $3.1m (￡2.5m) for a giant tuna at the first new year's auction in Tokyo's new fish market. Self-styled "Tuna King" Kiyoshi Kimura bought the 278kg (612lbs) bluefin tuna, which is an endangered species.・・・ https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-46767370
https://apnews.com/e03de193e25e4fc19377ce99f947aa45 Trump adviser outlines conditions for US pullout from Syria By ZEKE MILLER an hour ago ボルトン国家安全保障補佐官：トルコがクルド人勢力の安全を保証しないなら、また シリアに残存のISIS勢力が一掃されない限り米軍の撤退はない
JERUSALEM (AP) ? President Donald Trump’s national security adviser said Sunday that the American military withdrawal from northeastern Syria is conditioned on defeating the remnants of the Islamic State group and on Turkey assuring the safety of U.S.-allied Kurdish fighters.
John Bolton said there is no timetable for the pullout, but insisted the military presence is not an unlimited commitment. “There are objectives that we want to accomplish that condition the withdrawal,” Bolton told reporters in Jerusalem before heading to Turkey on Monday, where he will be joined by the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Joseph Dunford. “The timetable flows from the policy decisions that we need to implement.”
Those conditions, he said, included defeating what’s left of IS in Syria and protecting Kurdish militias who have fought alongside U.S. troops against the extremist group. Bolton’s comments were the first public confirmation that the drawdown has been slowed. Trump had faced widespread criticism from allies about his decision, announced in mid-December, that he was pulling all 2,000 U.S. troops from Syria. Officials said at the time that although many details of the withdrawal had not yet been finalized, they expected American forces to be out by mid-January.
“We’re pulling out of Syria,” Trump said Sunday at the White House. “But we’re doing it and we won’t be finally pulled out until ISIS is gone.”
(((DeanObeidallah)))認証済みアカウント @DeanObeidallah 4時間4時間前 Trump's shutdown will soon mean no funding for the food stamps program. Each month 20 million children - yes children - depend on that program to eat. That means because of Trump, millions of children will go hungry. Trump clearly cares more about his wall than our children. トランプ大統領と議会民主党の対立で政府閉鎖が続くと、フード・スタンプ（低所得者向け 食料費補助対策）に依存している毎月2000万人の（貧困家庭の）子供たちの食事が取れなく なる恐れ
Amy Klobuchar認証済みアカウント @amyklobuchar 3時間3時間前 If the Administration continues this reckless shutdown, everyone filing early and counting on a refund of their money will have to wait -delaying millions of dollars in tax refunds. 政府閉鎖の続くかぎり、人々への税金の控除・払い戻し処理が遅れることになる
The U.K. Labour party may face an electoral wipeout if its members of Parliament back Theresa May's Brexit deal, rather than a second referendum on EU membership. That's according to a new YouGov opinion poll of 25,537 Britons commissioned by the People's Vote campaign, which supports continued EU membership for U.K.
The poll, conducted over the Christmas and New Year holiday break, rates Labour's vote share at 34 percent, six points behind the Conservatives. That support could drop to 26 percent ? lower than Labour has scored at any general election in the past century ? if Labour MPs help Theresa May's deal through Parliament.
The poll also found that 75 percent of Labour supporters and a small majority of voters overall prefer a second referendum over letting MPs make the final decision on Brexit.
労働党党首のJeremy Corbynが二回目の国民投票支持を明確にしていないことに労働党内で 批判の声 One in six Labour members surveyed said they had considered quitting the party over leader Jeremy Corbyn's fence-sitting approach to Brexit. David Lammy, a Labour MP and People's Vote supporter criticized Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn in a written statement. "The time for prevarication and pussyfooting around on Brexit has long passed. We must now give voice to the clear majority of people who are demanding a final say,” Lammy said.
What's happening: Alumni of this White House see a possible reason. Although Kelly was thwarted in many of his efforts to control the president, one place he made authentic inroads was clamping down on the paper flow to the Oval Office. "Anyone who circumvented that process was going to have a serious problem," said a former official who saw the transformation up close. "It has devolved into anarchy," added another alumnus of Trump's White House. ホワイトハウスの出身者によれば、アナーキーが出現
"Someone mentioned to me a few days ago it's like the old [pre-Kelly] days of the administration, just with less people," this former official continued. "The wild, wild west. ... At least during the early days, he had a bit of a buffer with Hope [Hicks] and [longtime bodyguard] Keith [Schiller] there." ワイルド・ウエスト化とも Wednesday was Kelly's last formal day in the White House, but his influence had declined since he announced his departure on Dec. 8. Since then, Trump has made several unusually specific factual assertions that were quickly shown to be inaccurate, suggesting more unvetted information may be reaching him than had been the case in the heyday of Kelly's control: ケリー首席補佐官の業務停止後、コントロールがきかずにトランプ大統領発の異様な 発現が増加
Arguably the most notable one: During Wednesday's devil-may-care, 95-minute Cabinet meeting, Trump said that back in 1979, the Soviet Union had invaded Afghanistan "because terrorists were going into Russia. They were right to be there." A Wall Street Journal editorial scolded: "We cannot recall a more absurd misstatement of history by an American President." 異常発言の例は水曜日の閣議で大統領の述べたロシアのアフガニスタン侵略の正当化 でテロリストのロシア侵入を防ぐためというもの。WSJは米国大統領の発言として例 を見ない滑稽なミスステートメントという。 Walls as a weapon: Trump tweeted last Sunday: "President and Mrs. Obama built/ has a ten foot Wall around their D.C. mansion/compound." The WashPost reported: "Obamas' neighbors [said] there is no such wall. The 8,200-square-foot structure, despite several security features, is completely visible from the street." オバマ氏の邸宅は10フィートの壁で囲まれている、という大統領発言は、そういう壁 のないことが確認されている At the Cabinet meeting, Trump said: "[T]he Vatican has the biggest wall of them all." Dan Scavino, Trump's director of social media, had tweeted during the campaign: "Vatican City is 100% surrounded by massive walls." The NY Times reports: "Vatican City has walls, but they do not enclose the entire territory and visitors can easily enter some parts." バチカン市は大きな壁で100%囲まれているという発言も誤りと指摘されている Also during the Cabinet meeting, per the NY Times, "Trump mocked India for doing no more in Afghanistan than building a library, which generated ... head scratching [in New Delhi] because, according to Indian news media, the country has not built a library in Afghanistan in many years." インドがアフガニスタンに図書館を作る以外の事をしていないというのも事実誤認 And then there's the president's depiction of how tariffs work. "China is paying us tremendous tariffs. We’re getting billions and billions of dollars of money pouring into the Treasury," he said Friday at a Rose Garden news conference. The NY Times points out: "The United States does not send China a bill for the cost of tariffs, which are often passed on to American importers or consumers." 中国製品への関税付加で中国が税金を払っているという発言も誤りで米国の消費者が払っ ている
Be smart: The WashPost called the Cabinet meeting "a fact-checking nightmare." WaPoは閣議が事実確認の悪夢のようという Better rest up: The president believes he pays no price for escalating inaccuracies, even ones that have been repeatedly debunked. ("Bottomless Pinocchios," the WashPost Fact Checker calls them.) With most of his human guardrails gone, the unvetted language of Trump's rallies is once again a staple of his governing. 誤りを修正し事実誤認を防御する人材がホワイトハウスを去ってトランプ大統領の 検証されていない発言が常態化している
On CNN’s State of the Union, Tapper first pressed on Mulvaney on the “challenge” of “controlling the flow of information” to Trump, who often spouts incorrect information. Mulvaney insisted “the president gets the best information available,” and argued Trump sometimes disagrees with his advisers on decision-making. “I’m not talking about the decisions,” Tapper replied. “I’m not taking issue with the decisions. I’m taking issue with bad facts, information that’s incorrect, such as why the Soviet Union went into Afghanistan. And I’m wondering if you are at all concerned that there is a campaign to get bad information to President Trump?”
“Without giving away too many of the inside secrets,” Mulvaney said, “I have seen every single piece of information that goes onto the resolute desk, I’ve seen every single piece of information that goes to the residence at night, and I have not seen anything objectionable.”
“I think those are comments the president made borne out of frustration for where we are,” Mulvaney replied. “I’m not too concerned about the details.”
WASHINGTON ? The chief of staff for the Pentagon has been forced out of his post by the Defense Department’s new acting head, multiple U.S. officials said, days after the departure of former Secretary Jim Mattis.
The Pentagon announced that Kevin Sweeney, a retired Navy rear admiral who had worked closely with Mattis, had stepped down. “After two years in the Pentagon, I’ve decided the time is right to return to the private sector,” Sweeney said in a statement released late Friday by the Pentagon. “It has been an honor to serve again alongside the men and women of the Department of Defense.”
Sweeney had worked alongside Mattis at several points during his career, including when Mattis was still in uniform at assignments at U.S. Central Command in Tampa, Fla., and at Joint Forces Command in Norfolk, Va., as well as while overseeing the Defense Department as secretary.
それでもなお、ポジションとキャリー取引の人気だけでは今回の相場の変動は十分には説 明できない。 前出のアジア大手銀のトレーダーは「今年の見通しは悲観ムードがまん延している。取引 初日にフラッシュ・クラッシュが起こるとは、相当な厳しさの前触れかもしれない」と語った。 By Eva Szalay (2019年1月3日付 英フィナンシャル・タイムズ電子版 https://www.ft.com/）
https://apnews.com/b6cfb39685bb477586f1c83967917c78 The Latest: NKorea leader’s motorcade leaves Beijing station 30 minutes ago 金正恩の列車が北京到着 AP SEOUL, South Korea (AP) ? The Latest on North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s visit to China (all times local): 12:15 a.m.
A long motorcade including motorcycle outrides reserved for state leaders has left a Beijing train station shortly after the arrival of a train believed to be carrying North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Kim’s his arrival Tuesday had been openly announced by both sides.
The train consisting of 20 to 25 cars ? most of whose windows were blacked-out ? pulled by two locomotives arrived in Beijing’s North Station along tracks lined by police and paramilitary troops. That followed the arrival of a three-car advance North Korean train.
Kim’s trip comes after U.S. and North Korean officials are believed to have met in Vietnam to discuss the location of a second summit between Kim and President Donald Trump. 金正恩の北京訪問は北朝鮮と米国の担当者がベトナムで会談した後におきている。 両国は首脳会談の場所を協議したと見られる
ロス米商務長官は７日、米経済専門局ＣＮＢＣに対して「中国にとっても、また米国にと っても受け入れられる合理的な解決策が得られる見込みは非常に高い。そうすれば、あら ゆる重要な課題に対処できる」と述べた。 ロス長官は、中国による米国産大豆や液化天然ガス（ＬＮＧ）の輸入増のほか、知的財産 権や市場へのアクセスといった問題に対する一段の「構造改革」での合意といった内容が 解決策に盛り込まれる可能性があると指摘した。 米中通商協議では次官級当局者が出席者の中心になるとみられていたが、劉鶴副首相が出 席したことが明らかになった。 原題：U.S. Sees Trade Deal Within Reach as China Dispatches Top Aide（抜粋）
●Ross said ‘very good chance’ of deal that addresses reforms ●Vice Premier Liu He unexpectedly showed up at talks in Beijing
“Talks with China are going very well!” Trump tweeted on Tuesday as the sides wrapped up two days of mid-level meetings.
Before the talks ended earlier on Tuesday, Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Lu Kang told reporters at a regular briefing Tuesday in Beijing that “I believe we will release a detailed readout after they are concluded.” No timing was given and it wasn’t immediately clear if the U.S. delegation would release a statement.
U.S. stock futures and European equities jumped as investors awaited developments on trade talks between the world’s largest economies.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-shutdown-poll-idUSKCN1P223U JANUARY 9, 2019 / 4:50 AM / UPDATED 7 HOURS AGO A growing number of Americans blame Trump for shutdown: Reuters-Ipsos poll Chris Kahn Reuters/Ipsos世論調査：政府閉鎖の責任は、トランプ大統領＝51%。民主党＝32%、共和党＝7% トランプ大統領の責任とする意見は前回調査より＋4%
The national opinion poll, which ran from Jan. 1 to Jan. 7, found that 51 percent of adults believe Trump “deserves most of the blame” for the shutdown, which entered its 18th day on Tuesday. That is up 4 percentage points from a similar poll that ran from Dec. 21 to 25. Another 32 percent blame congressional Democrats for the shutdown and 7 percent blame congressional Republicans, according to the poll. Those percentages are mostly unchanged from the previous poll.
https://www.vox.com/2019/1/8/18174782/trump-speech-immigration-border “Immigrants are coming over the border to kill you” is the only speech Trump knows how to give Most politicians know how to strike more than one note. Trump does not. By Dara Linddara@vox.com Jan 8, 2019, 10:44pm EST トランプTV演説：「移民は貴方を殺すために国境を超える」というトランプ流
https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-gets-instant-fact-check-from-fox-news-shepard-smith-after-oval-office-speech NOPE Trump Gets Instant Fact-Check From Fox News' Shepard Smith After Oval Office Speech The Fox News anchor did not let the president get away with his lies to the American people Tuesday night. Matt Wilstein 01.08.19 9:44 PM ET トランプTV演説の誤りを、放映直後にFoxニュースのアンカー、Shepard Smithが指摘 「統計の示すところでは、不法移民の凶悪犯罪率は一般の人々よりも低い」 「大統領の言う麻薬密輸は陸上の国境を超えるのではなく、海上の運輸によると政府の 統計が示している」
“Statistics show that there is less violent crime by the undocumented immigrant population than by the general population.” In response to Trump claiming his wall would stop drug trafficking across the border, Smith said, “Government statistics show much of the heroin actually comes not over the unguarded border but through ports of call.”
チャイナ・ベージュ・ブックのリランド・ミラー最高経営責任者（ＣＥＯ）は８日のブルー ムバーグテレビジョンとのインタビューで、「われわれは合意に向かっている。中国が合意 を望み、必要としてることは疑いない。中国経済は公式データが示しているよりはるかに大 幅に減速していると私はみている」と発言。「ホワイトハウス内にはより長期の戦いを望む 者も多いが、トランプ大統領が方針を打ち出し、合意を望むと述べている。従ってわれわれ はそれに向かっている」と説明した。 原題：Trump Said to Want Trade Deal With China to Boost Stock Market（抜粋） Trump Said to Want Trade Deal With China to Boost Stock Market
>>928 http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/01/09/one-more-russian-contact-heres-why-it-matters/ Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post: One more Russian contact: Here's why it matters ? The Post reports, “Paul Manafort shared 2016 presidential campaign polling data with Konstantin Kilimnik, an associate the FBI has said has ties to Russian intelligence, according to a court filing.” We learned about the confab between Donald Trump's ポール・マナナフォート前トランプ選対本部長がロシア軍の情報機関（GRU）とつながり を持つ政治コンサルタント、Konstantin Kilimnikに選挙データを提供していた事件はロシア とトランプ選挙キャンペーンの繋がりを示す新たな材料として重要 Jennifer Rubin（保守系コラムニスト）ワシントン・ポスト
A conservative Washington Post columnist has written a column in which she argues the latest revelations about former Trump campaign boss Paul Manafort sharing confidential campaign polling data with accused Russian spy Konstantin Kilimnik is “a blockbuster revelation should end talk of a ‘witch hunt.'”
“This is not the first piece of evidence of collusion between the Trump camp and Russian figures, to be sure,” she said. “The Trump Tower meeting in June 2016 between Manafort, Jared Kushner and Donald Trump Jr., and Russians promising ‘dirt’ on Hillary Clinton has been known for some time. But here we see Manafort giving something of value (insider polling data) to a Russian.”
“It’s hard to see what good polling data would be to a Russian oligarch, so it raises the question of whether Manafort’s actual goal was to get the information to the Russian government itself,” Miller said.
As Rubin notes, this is yet another bullet-hole in Trump’s original claim to have nothing to do with Russians during the campaign.
“We have, at the very least, yet another previously undisclosed contact between the Trump campaign and Russians,” she writes. “We’ve come a long way since Trump claimed neither he nor anyone on the campaign had contacts with Russians… It’s hard to describe how bizarre this many contacts between a campaign and a hostile foreign government ? one trying to influence the campaign to that side’s favor ? truly is. Keep in mind that no major party presidential campaign of which we are aware ever had a single contact with the Russians.”
As I signaled last night, the seemingly accidental redaction error in the Manafort legal filing combined with the news published mid-evening by The New York Times is one of the biggest revelations in more than two years of the Trump/Russia scandal. It’s bigger than the Trump Tower meeting in June 2016, though the two cases can’t be fully understood without reference to each other. Just as importantly, these new revelations combined with earlier reports effectively end the debate about whether there was ‘collusion’ between Russia and the Trump campaign during the 2016 election. It was happening at the very top of the campaign. The campaign manager was secretly funneling campaign data and information to a Russian oligarch closely tied to Russian President Vladimir Putin, someone who had no possible use for such information other than to use it in the Russian efforts to get Donald Trump elected President.
●Both Mr. Manafort and Rick Gates, the deputy campaign manager, transferred the data to Mr. Kilimnik in the spring of 2016 as Mr. Trump clinched the Republican presidential nomination, according to a person knowledgeable about the situation. Most of the data was public, but some of it was developed by a private polling firm working for the campaign, according to the person.
●Mr. Manafort asked Mr. Gates to tell Mr. Kilimnik to pass the data to Oleg V. Deripaska, a Russian oligarch who is close to the Kremlin and who has claimed that Mr. Manafort owed him money from a failed business venture, the person said. It is unclear whether Mr. Manafort was acting at the campaign’s behest or independently, trying to gain favor with someone to whom he was deeply in debt.
This is all pretty clear cut. We’re not talking about vague conversations in which quid pro quos or campaign cooperation could have happened. It did happen. Manafort appears to concede passing on the campaign data. The Times appears to have reliable sourcing confirming that the data came with the explicit instructions to pass it to Deripaska.（ry
Honig said that the detail of Manafort sharing polling data is significant.
“The campaign chair is the campaign. The campaign was sharing polling data with someone known to be connected to Russian intelligence,” he said. “Is it collusion in the everyday non-legal sense before Rudy Giuliani started using the word? Sure. What could be more collusive than the top guy in a campaign with a Russian operative giving him the most sensitive data a campaign has?”
Almost from the moment the camera blinked on in the Oval Office, it was clear that President Donald Trump was delivering a Stephen Miller special.
The 33-year-old White House speechwriter has a hand in virtually everything the president reads from a teleprompter. But as one of the most strident immigration hawks in the West Wing, Miller has been especially influential over the past two years in shaping the way Trump talks about his signature issue. Tuesday night was reportedly no exception.
While it’s impossible to say just how much of the address he wrote, all of the tics and tropes of Millerian rhetoric were on display. The scary immigrants (“vicious coyotes and ruthless gangs”). The gory anecdotes (a veteran “beaten to death with a hammer by an illegal alien”). The decidedly un-Trumpian flourishes (“a crisis of the heart, and a crisis of the soul.”)
In setting the stage for Trump’s prime-time address, White House officials had insisted that the president was making a good-faith effort to win over skeptics of his border-wall proposal and get the government reopened. But the speech he ended up giving was not calibrated for persuasion. It was, by and large, dark, divisive, and shot through with the kind of calculated provocation that rallies the president’s fans and riles his enemies. It was, in other words, classic Stephen Miller.
President Trump’s consistent “no collusion” claims, ailing for months as Mueller’s cards are revealed, one by one, are now officially moribund. Manafort has admitted that he was in touch with Kilimnik during and after Trump’s presidential run, regarding campaign matters, in what appears to be a clandestine back-channel between Team Trump and the Kremlin.
The big open question is how much Donald Trump knew about Manafort’s secret dealings with Kilimnik in 2016 and after. Given the president’s well-documented micro-managerial ways, plus the fact that he’s known Manafort for decades, it’s impossible to imagine he was wholly unaware of his own campaign’s hush-hush back-channel to Moscow.
What really ought to worry the president and his inner circle is what Mueller knows about the election and has yet to reveal. The Special Counsel doesn’t have to disclose to suspects how it knows certain things, and it’s apparent that Mueller and his investigators asked Manafort about his dealings with Kilimnik, which he lied about?and the ostrich jacket connoisseur is now trying to come clean before he gets a de facto life sentence in prison.
That Mueller knew about Manafort’s 2016 dealings with Kilimnik is no surprise, given that the two men communicated frequently for many years, and the Special Counsel seized all of those communications from Manafort. But how did Mueller know about their secret Madrid meeting in early 2017, despite Manafort’s denials?
The answer lies in a highly secretive intelligence program run by the National Security Agency (NSA). It’s called travel tracking and its existence, like so many NSA top-secret operations, was revealed by Edward Snowden, the disgruntled agency IT contractor who fled to Moscow in June 2013 with over a million classified documents from the NSA and other U.S. spy agencies.
Travel tracking means that the NSA and its Five Eyes Anglosphere intelligence partners know who’s going where by air, and when, anywhere. They can even crack into WiFi and mobile phones in flight, according to top secret-plus documents stolen and leaked by Snowden. Unless you’re traveling under alias documents of the kind issued by higher-end spy services, the NSA and its close friends know where you’re headed.
There ends the mystery of how Mueller and his investigators knew about Manafort and Kilimnik’s off-record rendezvous in Madrid at the beginning of Donald Trump’s presidency. It also means that the Special Counsel knows the truth regarding Michael Cohen’s alleged summer 2016 trip to Prague to parley with Kremlin spies on behalf of his then-client, our 45th president.
“Mueller really does know everything,” joked a former Intelligence Community (IC) senior official whom I’ve known for years. “The IC gave the Special Counsel everything we had that might be of relevance to their investigation, most of it came from NSA.” Which hardly surprises, since something like 80 percent of the actionable intelligence in the IC emanates from the NSA, the world’s most productive spy agency.
There is palpable irony here, since the Snowden Operation of 2013, in which the Kremlin weaponized disinformation about the NSA with the help of WikiLeaks, gave Moscow the Active Measures template which they employed again in 2016 to help elect Donald Trump. Unfortunately for them, Trump and his retinue didn’t pay close attention to Snowden’s revelations about the NSA’s espionage capabilities. If they had, perhaps they would have been less careless about their secret dealings with the Kremlin.
Max Boot認証済みアカウント @MaxBoot(ワシントン・ポストのコラムニスト、保守系) There is a name for cooperation between an American political campaign and a foreign government. It’s commonly called collusion. Or, if you prefer the legal term, conspiracy. If this is what it appears to be, it is the biggest scandal in US history.
Here’s the Times‘ correction: A previous version of this article misidentified the people to whom Paul Manafort wanted a Russian associate to send polling data. Mr. Manafort wanted the data sent to two Ukrainian oligarchs, Serhiy Lyovochkin and Rinat Akhmetov, not Oleg V. Deripaska, a Russian oligarch close to the Kremlin.
WASHINGTON ? Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has agreed to deliver a classified briefing to U.S. House lawmakers on Thursday on his recent decision to lift sanctions on companies linked to a Russian oligarch and Vladimir Putin ally, marking the start of an aggressive new focus on Mnuchin by newly empowered House Democrats, according to two top Democratic aides.
Mnuchin, who served as the Trump campaign's national finance chairman in 2016 before being confirmed to President Donald Trump's cabinet, has largely escaped investigative scrutiny.
But because of his role in the campaign ? and, most recently, the Dec. 19 announcement easing sanctions on companies aligned with Oleg Deripaska, the Putin ally with ties to former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort ? House Democrats believe Mnuchin should be a focus of and source of information for several planned investigations both related and unrelated to the Russia probe, according to the aides. These include examinations of Trump's finances and the business practices of the Trump Organization.
In their letter, the investigative committee heads asked Mnuchin to meet with lawmakers "in an appropriate setting." It was one of the first coordinated requests from the committees since the Democrats took control of the House last week. Among the questions Democrats are likely to ask Mnuchin at the briefing, according to aides: How much influence did the White House, and Trump personally, exert in Mnuchin's decision to lift sanctions?
Deripaska, one of Russia's wealthiest men, is a close ally of Russian President Putin and was a business associate of former Trump Campaign Chairman Paul Manafort.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's televised response to President Trump on Tuesday night got higher ratings than Trump's address, The Hill reports. By the numbers: Schumer and Pelosi's rebuttal got a combined 29.3 rating on NBC, Fox News, CNN, CBS, MSNBC and ABC, according to early numbers from Nielsen. Trump's address had a 28.1 rating on those same networks.
Financial Times認証済みアカウント @FinancialTimes 22分22分前 The largest business lobbying group in the US is now criticising Donald Trump's administration, calling out some of the president’s flagship policies on trade and immigration. 米国最大のビジネス・ロビイング・グループが今やトランプ政権の通商政策、 移民政策などを批判；
）でもあり、 
